Outsourcing is all over the news. U.S. businesses are hiring
foreigners, often in India, to do things that Americans once did.
The tasks range from manning call centers to writing software
code. We often hear that this economic phenomenon is bad for America,
that the benefits of free trade no longer hold. The world has
changed.
We're told that information moves more quickly than in the past.
Capital is more mobile. The fall of communism has unleashed thousands
of new workers into the global labor force. The U.S. is shedding
service jobs, having already lost millions of manufacturing positions.
Now white-collar jobs are being lost.
All of these are true. But none of them change the benefits
from open trade with our neighborsnor its costs.
CREATIVE CYCLE.
When an American outfit creates a call center in India or sends
some of its software-design business there, it's able to do more
with lessmore output with fewer workers, less capital, and
fewer raw materials. Costs go down.
These savings come from different sourcesinnovation and
productivity changes, importing goods rather than making them,
or using foreign labor for services that used to be done in-house.
All of these allow companies to get more from less, which means
America is more productive as a nation. The result is higher wages
and a better standard of living for the average American.
That's the story of the last 100 years of the U.S. economy.
In 1900, 40% of the country's work force was in agriculture. Today,
the percentage is about 2%. That transition was driven by innovation,
getting more from less. Prices fell. People spent less money on
food. That freed cash to to be used on new products, and new companies
could be created.
FEWER FACTORIES, MORE OUTPUT.
During the transition, farm employment dwindled, but tens of millions
of new, higher-wage jobs were then able to come into existence.
The U.S. would be a lot poorer if the country had insisted on
keeping those farm jobs. The change was hard on a lot of farmers,
but it was good for almost every American. The children and grandchildren
of those farmers enjoy the benefits today.
The same transition has happened in manufacturing over the last
50 years. Businesses have found new ways to get more from less.
Some of those ways involve new technology or importing goods that
were once made here. Both result in fewer manufacturing workers
and greater output.
If the U.S. had insisted on making all its own cars, watches,
TVs, radios, or shoes, resources wouldn't have been available
to channel into creating the jobs of the last 50 years in telecommunications,
software, and biotech. People wouldn't have been available to
work in those industries, and the American standard of living
would be dramatically lower.
PROTECTED BUT POORER.
But what if India gets all the software jobs? (See BW, 3/1/04,
"Software".) I doubt that will happen. I suspect that for most
information-technology jobs, Americans will still be more effective
than foreign workers. But suppose Indians decided to work for
free and give away the software, the ultimate competitive threat.
If outsourcing work to low-wage Indians is bad, surely free software
from zero-wage Indians is even worse.
Free software would be hard for the U.S. workers in the software
industry to compete with. But it would be a boon for Americaplenty
of U.S. outfits would expand. Having free software would let a
lot of new companies come into existence that couldn't have been
profitable before. Programs at no cost would mean lower prices
across the board. That would liberate resources to do new things
all over the economy. Many of those out-of-work American programmers
would find new jobs. The same effect occurs when the software
is merely cheaper, rather than free.
The hardship that results from economic change always tempts
politicians to limit individuals' freedom to buy what they want
and businesses to hire whom they desire. Such political restraints
will make life more securebut poorer and less dynamic. Ultimately,
it will have no effect on the number of jobs in the U.S. but only
make the ones that survive pay less.